Nate Silver's latest prediction on his FiveThirtyEight blog has Barack Obama at a 92.0% chance of winning and Tammy Baldwin at a 77.2% chance of winning.
BUT those numbers depend upon you voting. If you don't vote, the numbers don't add up, and the chances drop off quickly. Both elections will be incredibly close in Wisconsin, and your vote will matter.
And since we're in Wisconsin, our vote carries a lot more weight than most. If you don't vote, Obama may lose. If you do vote, Obama will win.
This is why the Republicans have been trying to suppress our vote for the last year with photo ID laws and absurdly long voting lines (in other states). If they can keep enough of us from voting, they win. If enough of us vote, we win.
You can't do a touchdown dance before crossing the goal line, otherwise you risk fumbling the ball. We can only win if you vote and help get out the vote.
If you lack motivation, think of the people standing in line for 8-9 hours to vote in Ohio and Florida. If they can do that, you can vote. Think of the people in areas heavily affected by Superstorm Sandy. If they can vote, so can you.
If you're sick of being screwed. Vote!